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20 RedMonk Predictions for 2010

I am sure many of you are already facing prediction fatigue, but I have to take my hat off to Jonny Bentwood, the very model of a modern AR/influencer man, for

a. rounding up a bunch of analyst firm predictions for next year.

b. helpfully editing three sets of redmonk predictions from Coté, Stephen, and yours truly into a single top 20. Here it is:

  1. Cloud API proliferation will become a serious problem
  2. Data as revenue – we’re going to see datasets increasingly recognized as a serious, balance sheet-worthy asset
  3. Developer target fragmentation will accelerate
  4. It’s all about the analytics – metrics can be immensely important in maximizing returns, and to an extent, profits. In 2010 business intelligence will become less about the power user, and more about democratised access to the ad hoc query. In memory databases will underpin the trend.
  5. Marketplaces will be table stakes
  6. New languages to watch: Clojure and Go
  7. NoSQL will bid for mainstream acceptance
  8. Location, location, location: the new frontier in app dev is location-aware applications and services
  9. Augmented Reality will begin to make a mark in the mobile space.
  10. Greener business processes through deeper instrumentation, more effective automation and orchestration
  11. Google will significantly ramp up enterprise efforts
  12. Hybrid Cloud and On Premise models for the enterprise – the Big Cloud Backlash will be in full effect in 2010, after all the hype in 2009.
  13. SOA without the SOA
  14. A big upswing in enterprise demerger activity
  15. New devices: Smart phones, tablets, toys, TVs, and other devices are now on the Internet. Software goes here.
  16. Users no longer tolerate slow and dumb computers.
  17. Technology every where and at all times changes how people go about their daily work and lives.
  18. New technology actually seems to work; but it’s not as open as we’re used to.
  19. Identity management standards
  20. The consumerization of IT, or whatever you like: the core difference with these new platforms is that end-users expect more out of their “computers” and the related software.

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This entry was written by James Governor and posted on December 16, 2009 at 3:42 pm and filed under . Bookmark the permalink. Follow any comments here with the RSS feed for this post. Post a comment or leave a trackback: Trackback URL.

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16 Comments

  1. Andy Piper
    Posted December 17, 2009 at 10:34 pm | Permalink

    Nice summary, although if anything I’d say that there are a couple in here that arrived already. Location has been a slow burner over the past couple of years and I’d say that it started to bite in earnest this year. Google’s enterprise push began this year (not saying they don’t have more to foist). Augmented reality more-or-less arrived with iPhone OS 3.1. And technology everywhere? well… that’s a no brainer, and has been happening for several years. Exciting times though, even with the backlashes you predict :-)

  2. Richard Schwartz
    Posted December 18, 2009 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    Data as revenue… gives me a distinct feeling that I know what the next market bubble will be driven by.

2 Trackbacks/Pingbacks

  1. By 20 RedMonk Predictions for 2010 on 17 Dec 2009 at 3:56 am

    [...] (Cross-posted @ James Governor’s Monkchips) [...]

  2. By People Over Process » Gartner buys Burton and the Analyst Consolidation Question on 05 Jan 2010 at 7:13 pm

    [...] Of course, we like to think that RedMonk is pretty darned nimble ;> But, seriously, I think you can see that in action in the 2010 predictions we all did. [...]

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